Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.354651 5.029842 5.740861 6.542200 7.416995 8.339910 9.384079
2024-12-22 3.328387 4.258269 5.302762 6.549364 7.983222 9.567986 11.438971
2024-12-29 2.764053 3.877176 5.199974 6.855598 8.840425 11.113218 13.881786
2025-01-05 2.320058 3.551257 5.092417 7.103921 9.601652 12.546213 16.223948
2025-01-12 1.924281 3.213331 4.910337 7.213371 10.164976 13.734351 18.288882
2025-01-19 1.551964 2.840679 4.627210 7.146658 10.474456 14.595156 19.956640
2025-01-26 1.318382 2.623984 4.518889 7.280347 11.020287 15.741214 21.979909
2025-02-02 1.123710 2.431390 4.415779 7.398099 11.530745 16.838151 23.948949
2025-02-09 0.897340 2.145941 4.141482 7.246051 11.657245 17.428233 25.273369
2025-02-16 0.712360 1.894047 3.885691 7.091663 11.757867 17.969859 26.529264
2025-02-23 0.590833 1.733219 3.752682 7.100837 12.074077 18.791400 28.150114
2025-03-02 0.469624 1.545075 3.551241 6.985920 12.199129 19.348041 29.422658
2025-03-09 0.421776 1.505921 3.604855 7.276483 12.928935 20.756554 31.868836
2025-03-16 0.347205 1.388113 3.506205 7.316501 13.289688 21.664454 33.663060
2025-03-23 0.318234 1.374296 3.595140 7.662856 14.113084 23.226952 36.359034
2025-03-30 0.284790 1.340617 3.641988 7.938757 14.834706 24.657172 38.893886
2025-04-06 0.241033 1.265928 3.600566 8.060762 15.321457 25.761349 40.996835
2025-04-13 0.188505 1.146015 3.453930 7.990650 15.504967 26.432839 42.511372
2025-04-20 0.159746 1.090753 3.433267 8.135857 16.023268 27.587356 44.701175
2025-04-27 0.134050 1.035484 3.405319 8.263350 16.512346 28.702483 46.844353
2025-05-04 0.097415 0.917773 3.223827 8.099507 16.527585 29.124334 48.021844
2025-05-11 0.068622 0.810346 3.048777 7.932941 16.527371 29.516927 49.156444
2025-05-18 0.052035 0.747615 2.970924 7.942897 16.812011 30.330528 50.890125